NeoCardAlpha Glossary

How much NeoCardAlpha trusts the displayed price.

Pricing Confidence summarizes whether a price is supported by recent marketplace data, inventory depth, source agreement, condition stability, and validation signals. It does not say the price will move.

Example: A card with several recent marketplace prices and enough inventory can show stronger pricing confidence than a one-listing outlier.

The price is supported by stronger recent market evidence.

HIGH pricing confidence means the price has enough recent marketplace data, inventory depth, and consistency across sources to be easier to trust than thinner estimates.

Example: A heavily traded Standard rare with many sellers and consistent prices can show HIGH confidence.

The price has useful support, but not the strongest evidence.

MODERATE pricing confidence means the price has some marketplace support, but source agreement, inventory depth, freshness, or condition data is not as strong as a HIGH-confidence row.

Example: A card with a believable TCGplayer price but thinner CardTrader depth may show MODERATE confidence.

The price is harder to trust and needs extra checking.

LOW pricing confidence means thin depth, source disagreement, stale data, or condition instability makes the displayed price less reliable.

Example: A single recent listing that is not confirmed by other sources can show LOW confidence.

The market is thin enough that price trust is limited.

ILLIQUID means there is too little market depth to treat the price as a strong signal. Public UI may describe this as a Thin Market.

Example: A rare old printing with one seller and very few listings can be marked ILLIQUID.

The price may be distorted by an unusual listing or source gap.

OUTLIER_RISK means the current price may not be confirmed by broader marketplace evidence. It is a warning to check exact version, condition, seller depth, and source agreement.

Example: A marketplace price far above comparable sources can be flagged as OUTLIER_RISK.

How easily a card or printing market could move if pressure increases.

Market Sensitivity is a market structure signal based on inventory depth, seller depth, listing depth, concentration, spread, pricing confidence, and recent inventory change. It is not a price prediction.

Example: A card with five copies across two sellers and a wide spread can have higher Market Sensitivity than a card with deep supply.

The market has enough depth or agreement that it looks harder to move.

Low Sensitivity means available supply, seller depth, spread, and confidence signals give the market more cushion. It does not mean the card cannot move.

Example: A Standard staple with many sellers, deep listings, and a tight spread can show Low Sensitivity.

The market has some cushion, but a few signals deserve checking.

Moderate Sensitivity means inventory, sellers, spread, or price confidence are not deep enough for the market to look fully stable.

Example: A card with fair inventory but only a few sellers can show Moderate Sensitivity.

The market may move quickly if buying or selling pressure changes.

High Sensitivity means thin supply, low seller depth, wide spread, weak confidence, or falling inventory make the market easier to move than deeper cards.

Example: A card with eight copies, three sellers, and a wide spread can show High Sensitivity.

The market has very little cushion in the current data.

Extreme Sensitivity means multiple market-structure signals are weak at the same time. It is a warning to check exact print, seller depth, condition, and price confidence.

Example: A scarce print with very few sellers, falling inventory, and low pricing confidence can show Extreme Sensitivity.

Listing prices are far enough apart that the market is harder to read.

Wide Spread means the gap between low and higher listings is broad. It can make the current price less stable, especially when supply is thin.

Example: A low listing at $6 and the next meaningful listings near $10 can create a wide spread.

Marketplaces do not agree on the card's value.

Market Disagreement means stored prices from different marketplaces are far enough apart to deserve review. It is context, not automatically a deal.

Example: CardTrader and TCGplayer may agree while Card Kingdom retail is much higher.

Cards showing filtered price weakness with enough context to review.

Cards Cooling Off is not a raw losers list. It filters for believable price weakness while considering confidence, supply, and market context.

Example: A card with a confirmed 7-day NeoPrice decline and enough supply can appear as cooling off.

Tracked available copies are low enough to deserve a version check.

Thin Supply means there are not many tracked copies available for the card or printing. It matters most when paired with seller depth, price confidence, and recent inventory movement.

Example: A print with fewer than ten tracked copies can land in a Thin Supply section.

Available tracked inventory fell over the comparison window.

Inventory Drop means NeoCardAlpha saw fewer tracked copies in stored inventory snapshots. It should be checked by print because different versions can move differently.

Example: A print dropping from 18 copies to 9 copies over a week can show an Inventory Drop.

Inventory is shrinking quickly in the short-term window.

Selling Out highlights urgent inventory pressure, usually over a shorter window than broad falling-inventory reports. It does not guarantee a price move.

Example: A card losing a meaningful share of available CardTrader inventory in 24 hours can appear in Cards Selling Out.

Supply looks thinner or is tightening based on inventory signals.

Supply Under Pressure means inventory depth, seller depth, or recent inventory movement suggests the market has less cushion than usual.

Example: A card with falling inventory and few sellers can show Supply Under Pressure.

The stored price has not moved much over the comparison window.

Price Flat means the price change is inside the report's flat threshold. In supply reports, this can matter when inventory moved but price has not reacted much yet.

Example: A card whose supply dropped while price stayed within a small percentage band can show Price Flat.

The stored price increased beyond the report threshold.

Price Up means the stored price rose enough to count as a meaningful move for that report. Users should still check source, condition, and confidence.

Example: A card moving from $4.00 to $5.00 over a 7-day window can show Price Up.

The stored price declined beyond the report threshold.

Price Down means the stored price fell enough to count as a meaningful move for that report. It can reflect real weakness or noisy source changes, so confidence matters.

Example: A card moving from $10.00 to $8.50 over a 7-day window can show Price Down.

Available copies are controlled by only a few sellers.

Low Seller Depth means there are not many sellers behind the available inventory. A market can move faster when only a few sellers hold most copies.

Example: Twenty listings across two sellers has lower seller depth than twenty listings across ten sellers.

The market is thin enough that price and supply need extra checking.

Illiquid Market is public wording for a market with limited transaction depth or seller depth. It can raise Market Sensitivity and lower Pricing Confidence.

Example: An old foil with one seller and little recent price evidence can behave like an Illiquid Market.

How easy the card appears to buy or sell from available depth.

Liquidity summarizes available listings, seller count, supply depth, and spread. Liquidity asks whether users can transact easily; Market Sensitivity asks how easily the market could move.

Example: A card with many sellers, many listings, and a tight spread usually has stronger liquidity.

A card, set, deck, or product is getting market attention.

Trend Signal connects attention and market context. It can come from daily trend reports, related card movement, Commander demand, sealed watches, or collector-version checks.

Example: A Commander precon reveal can create Trend Signals for support cards and exact-version reprints.

Daily public notes that explain what changed and what to check next.

Trend Intelligence pages summarize cards, products, sets, and decks getting attention, then connect that attention to price, inventory, liquidity, and version checks.

Example: A trend note may explain why a support card is moving and which printing matters.

The hub for trend reports and market-intelligence pages.

Market Trends groups daily trends, cards moving, Commander demand, sealed watches, collector-version checks, and market reports.

Example: Use Market Trends when you want the fastest path into current MTG market signals.

A report row worth checking because price, supply, or source gaps stand out.

Opportunity rows surface cards where a stored market condition may be worth reviewing, such as underpriced inventory, market disagreement, buylist gaps, or low supply with demand.

Example: A CardTrader listing below comparable references can appear as an Opportunity if confidence and risk checks pass.