Replacement Value
How the comparison works
Replacement Value uses the lowest-priced trustworthy, sufficiently liquid non-Secret-Lair printing of each guaranteed card in the same finish. Partial totals stay labeled when reliable prices are not available for every card.
Sell-Out Risk
Forecasts are not live stock
Forecasts are dated estimates. Stock, checkout, and sold-out observations remain separate evidence and never inherit a forecast label.
Versions And Supply
Check the exact printing
Stardew Valley is one new Magic card; renamed cards are reskins that map back to existing canonical cards.
Online foil and nonfoil launch first; later WPN nonfoil supply and bundle promo eligibility should stay separate.
Early listings need exact finish and product-source checks before they become reliable Secret Lair price movement.
Research Caveats
New card and reskins need different checks
Stardew Valley is one new Magic card. The renamed cards are reskins of existing cards, including Lucky Purple Memento as Puca's Mischief. Keep foil, nonfoil, WPN nonfoil, bundle, promo, ordinary versions, seller depth, completed sales, and Pricing Confidence separate.
Check canonical identity, finish, product source, WPN supply, bundle promo eligibility, seller depth, completed sales, and Pricing Confidence.
Drop checkedWelcome to Stardew ValleySupply modelProduct source neededSale windowOnline foil and nonfoil launch first; later WPN nonfoil supply should stay separate.Drop statusSale timing checkProduct sourceSecret Lair storefront / later WPN nonfoil supplySource contextCollector / version interestVersionsNon-foil / Foil / Regular printingsCards includedStardew Valley, Wedding Ring, Dawn's Truce, Swords to Plowshares + 3 moreMarketplaceMarketplace agreement needed
Check product source before treating Secret Lair listings as a market signal.
Preorder listings should not be treated as confirmed sales.
Renamed cards are reskins of existing canonical cards. Keep Secret Lair foil, Secret Lair nonfoil, WPN nonfoil, bundle, promo, and ordinary printings separate.
Check canonical identity, finish, product source, WPN supply, bundle promo eligibility, seller depth, completed sales, and Pricing Confidence.
Price confidenceConfidence UnknownNeeds version matchConfirmed sales needed