THE HOBBIT · HOB #53
Riddles in the Dark HOB #53
Instant
This price is harder to trustMarketplaces do not agreeFast price move
Exact Print Market
Current read
Representative price$8.45NeoPriceConfidenceOutlier RiskPricing ConfidenceFinish coverageFoil and nonfoil · separate price fieldsRepresentativeWhat changedNot tracked7-day price movementInventory39Print-level inventorySellers7Print-level sellersUpdatedJul 27, 2026Current
Check firstUnconfirmed source spike: primary marketplaces do not yet support the new candidate price.
Look at the top four cards of your library and separate them into a face-down pile and a face-up pile. An opponent chooses one of the piles. Put that pile into your hand and the other into your graveyard.
Marketplace Comparison
Compare source coverage
| Source | Price | Coverage | Updated | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NeoPriceNeoCardAlpha market reference | $8.45 | Representative print price | Jul 27, 2026 | Shown here |
| TCGplayer Market PricePricing source | $7.90 | Market price or search result | Not tracked | Open TCGplayer |
| CardTraderInventory source | $3.42 | Print-level | Jul 26, 2026 | Open CardTrader |
| Card KingdomValidation only | $2.99 | Retail validation only | Not tracked | Open Card Kingdom |
Marketplace prices may represent different finish or condition coverage. Check the source listing before comparing.
Source prices are 2.52x apart.
Market Read
What changed
What changed
- Print-level inventory increased 11.4% over seven days.
- Marketplaces do not agree for this print.
- 7 tracked sellers for this print.
Why this matters
Price comparison is the main check here: source prices are far enough apart that exact version, condition, and live listings matter before trusting the displayed market read.
What to verify
- exact printing and collector number
- current marketplace listing
- finish shown by the seller
- condition bucket
- whether marketplaces agree today
- whether the representative price matches the copy being compared
Supply
Supply and condition coverage
Total print inventory39Normal
Listings7Active print-level listings
Sellers7Normal
NM inventory39Near Mint
LP/SP inventory0Lightly/Slightly Played
MP/HP inventory0Moderately/Heavily Played
NM, LP/SP, and MP/HP tracked. Seller and listing counts are tracked for the print overall, not separately by finish or condition.
Other Printings
Compare versions
Detailed metricsOpen
| Listings | 7 | Tracked active listings |
|---|---|---|
| Vendors | 7 | Distinct tracked sellers |
| Liquidity Score | 24.4 | Scarce | 811% spread |
| Liquidity Tier | Scarce | 811% spread |
| Spread | 811% spread | Stable |
| Market Sensitivity | High Sensitivity (61/100) | How easily this market could move if pressure increases |
| Inventory Trend | -4.9% | 24h -4.9% | 7d +11.4% |
| NeoScore | No score | Internal market score |
| Organic Demand | No score | Internal market demand score |
Sources, methodology, and disclosureOpen
NeoPrice and Pricing Confidence use the existing NeoCardAlpha methodology. CardTrader is the inventory source, TCGplayer is the primary pricing source, and Card Kingdom is validation-only.
NeoCardAlpha may earn a commission from certain marketplace links.
Card Kingdom retail validation is visible when a matching product is available, but it remains a validation source.